Explain Why Domestic Crises Can Become International Crises
journal article
The American Political Science Review
Published By: American Political Science Association
https://doi.org/10.2307/2585485
https://www. jstor .org/stable/2585485
Audition costs enable leaders to make credible commitments and to communicate their intentions to their adversaries during a crisis. I explain audition costs by simultaneously modeling crisis beliefs and the domestic reelection process. I presume that a leader's power influences the outcome of a crisis. As such, voters use outcomes as a signal of their leaders' quality. Leaders have incentives to make statements that deter their enemies abroad, since these statements also enhance their standing at abode. Yet, such "cheap talk" foreign policy declarations are merely apparent when leaders suffer domestically if they fail to fulfill their commitments. In equilibrium, false promises are but made by the least competent types of leaders. Leaders that intermission their promises suffer electorally. Considering initial domestic conditions and institutional arrangements affect the vulnerability of leaders to these domestic costs, such factors influence the credibility of policy declarations and, therefore, the crisis issue.
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Source: https://www.jstor.org/stable/2585485
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